The Russian casualty rate per day of 1,200 troops may only provide temporary relief from manpower shortages.
The Institute for the Study of War reported on 1st November that the 8,000 North Korean soldiers preparing for combat deployment within Russia‘s Kursk Oblast represents approximately one week worth of Russian casualties along the entire frontline.
The Russian military suffers approximately 36,000 casualties per month, or around 1,200 each day.
US estimates suggest that Russian monthly recruitment is between 25,000-30,000 new soldiers. “This means Russia is just short of being able replace its current frontline losses in a 1:1 ratio,” ISW reported.
ISW reports that North Korea is estimated to have committed 12,000 troops in support of the Russian war effort.
The ISW analysis suggests that despite Choe’s claims about Pyongyang’s indefinite commitment to Russia, this support may not be a sustainable solution for the country’s manpower problems.
ISW says that if North Korean troops suffer the same level of casualties as Russian forces then the lessons Pyongyang hopes will be learned on the battlefield will be undermined. Kim is unlikely to commit to such losses indefinitely.
The institute reports that North Korea entered the war in order to gain experience with modern warfare, but notes that Russian command’s deployment strategies of North Korean forces have a significant impact on their ability to “meaningfully internallyize and disseminate experience.”
The Main Intelligence Directorate of Ukraine reported on 2nd November that Russia had transferred more than 7,500 North Korean military personnel out of its Primorsky Krai region and into areas near Ukraine.
Please read:
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