Day 954 of the Russo Ukrainian war: Russia’s elite forces suffer heavy losses at Vuhledar battle  

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The Russian elite naval infantry battalions have suffered devastating losses during their year-long fight for the of Vuhledar.
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Military Personnel
In the year-long battle of Vuhledar, Russia’s elite units suffered more losses than in Chechnya in 10 years. BBC analysis suggests that two elite Russian naval infantry battalions may have lost up 40% of their prewar strength during failed assaults against the Ukrainian town Vuhledar.
strikes Russian S-400 radar in Belgorod Oblast (video). The Ukrainian drone attack destroyed Russia’s 96L6 Radar, which is part of the S-400 surface-to-air system.
Ukraine claims it has hit one of two Russian oil depots that have caught fire. A drone attack ignited an oil depot in Russia’s Voronezh Oblast. A fire broke out at an oil storage site in Perm Krai about 1,500 km away from Ukraine. The Russian Defense claims to have shot down 18 over night.
ISW: Russian offensive will culminate in Ukraine in the coming months, if not weeks. ISW: Russian offensive in eastern Ukraine has tactical gains, but it is difficult to achieve operationally significant goals.
The approximate loss of weapons and military equipment by the Russian Armed Forces since the beginning of the invasion until the present date is:
* Personnel: 657940 (+1230)
* Tanks: 8908 (+15)
* APV: 17627 (+31)
* Artillery systems : 18965 (+59).
* MLRS: 1212 (+8)
* Anti-aircraft systems: 965
* Aircraft: 368
* Helicopters: 328
* UAV: 16494 (+101)
* Cruise missiles: 2613
* Warships/boats: 28
* Submarines: 1
* Vehicles and fuel tank: 25820 (+70).
Intelligence and technology
Latvia raises more than $ 219 thousand for the Azov brigade. In October, a Latvian aid package containing more than 100 drones produced in Latvia will be delivered to Ukrainian fighters.
Budanov, Ukraine’s Chief of Intelligence, calls for sanctions against components used in Russian missiles. Kyrylo Budanov is the head of Ukrainian military intelligence. He has pointed out that Western electronics are widely used in Russian weaponry. He also called for a crackdown of the sale of dual use goods which continue to reach Russia.
French-German defense company to supply 12 self propelled artillery systems in Ukraine. KNDS, an important arms manufacturer, will deliver a dozen advanced systems of artillery to Ukraine after a contract was signed in Kyiv.
International
Stoltenberg regrets the delayed military aid for Ukraine. Former NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg has admitted that his biggest regret is the late delivery of arms to Ukraine. He believes this could have strengthened Ukraine’s defenses and deterred Russia from invading.
Estonian spy chief warns that Russia must be strategically defeated. Kaupo Rosin is Estonia’s top intelligence officer. He warned that even a partial Russian win in its war could prolong the conflict. He urged the West to provide Ukraine with enough military support to defeat Moscow decisively.
Polish officials announce their readiness to train Ukrainian Legion Volunteers. Polish officials express their readiness to train Ukrainian Legion Volunteers despite initial slow recruitment.
Sweden has pledged EUR 2.4 million for Ukraine’s war crimes investigations. The fund will upgrade the digital infrastructure of law enforcement and prosecutors in Ukraine by supporting the SMEREKA electronic case management system.
The Swiss ambassador denies Switzerland’s support for the “peace plan” between China and Brazil for Ukraine. He clarified that Switzerland was only an observer at the recent China-Brazil meeting on peace.
European institutions stop contacts with Georgia’s Government. The EU has cut off -level contact with the “Georgian Dream’ government due to its anti-Western attitude. Herczynski, the EU envoy, stressed democratic values and encouraged high voter turnout at the October elections.
Norfund will invest $23.6 million in Ukraine. The initiative is designed to reduce the risks for companies investing and support reconstruction efforts.
Ishiba, the new Japanese PM, warns that “today’s Ukraine may be tomorrow’s East Asia”. Shigeru Ishiba spoke about the deteriorating relationship with China, regional security, defense strategies and Japan’s population crisis.
Bloomberg: EU prepares to sanction Iran over ballistic rocket shipments to Russia. The EU is developing a package of sanctions that will target Iran’s support of Russia’s military operations in Ukraine. It will focus on engineering, metals and aviation companies.
Pentagon rules out NATO’s air defense role in Ukraine, to avoid war involvement. The Pentagon clarified NATO will not intercept rockets over Ukraine like it does in Israel citing different battlefield conditions and the potential for direct war involvement.
Humanitarian and Social Impact
Ukrainian rescue team is looking for homes for 1,500 pets. In the aftermath of the ongoing conflict, approximately 20% of the 18800 animals evacuated from by volunteers have been reunited to their owners. However, 1,500 pets need loving homes.
In captivity, Russia has killed 177 Ukrainian prisoners of war. Despite the exchange and return of approximately 3,600 deported citizens and POWs, thousands remain unaccounted for. There are fears that the true death count could be much higher due to a lack of international oversight.
According to reports, Russians executed 16 Ukrainian POWs in Donbas from two units. In October, a video emerged showing the execution of sixteen Ukrainian prisoners of war in the Pokrovske Direction by Russian soldiers. This triggered a criminal investigation by Ukraine’s Security Service (SBU).
Ukrainian prosecutors claim that Russians executed 93 Ukrainian prisoners of war. Officials say that 80% executions of Ukrainian prisoners of war by Russian troops took place in 2024. This is a worrying increase in the violations of war law.
Political and legal developments
Ukraine asks international tribunal to order Russia to dismantle its Crimean bridge. Ukraine calls on The tribunal for Russia to dismantle Kerch Bridge, restore free navigation in Kerch Strait and conduct environmental impact assessment.
New developments
In a car explosion, the Russian security chief at the occupied Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant dies. Ukrainian intelligence shared video footage of a car blast in Russian-occupied that killed Andrii Korotkyi – a collaborator and the head of “physical safety” at Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant. You can read our previous daily review here.
You can read our previous daily review here.

 

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