In addition to the $400 million in new military aid, US has also committed $800 million towards drone production in Ukraine. South Korea is considering sending military personnel in Ukraine amid news of Russia’s deployment of North Korean troops to Ukraine. The Russian forces continue to increase the number of executions of unarmed Ukrainians by killing two Ukrainians in Donetsk oblast.
Exclusives
Military Personnel
DeepState: Russia occupies Zhelanne, Donetsk Oblast; advances in Kharkiv Oblast. Russian troops advanced also in Hirnyk in Donetsk Oblast and in Vyshneve, Kharkiv Oblast. They also advanced near Olhivka, Lyubymivka, and Olhivka, in the Kursk Oblast.
The approximate loss of weapons and military equipment by the Russian Armed Forces since the beginning of the invasion until the present date is 21 OCT 2024.
* Personnel: 680230 (+1710)
* Tanks: 9071 (+24)
* APV: 18175 (+64)
* Artillery systems : 19589 (+24).
* MLRS: 1232
* Anti-aircraft systems: 979
* Aircraft: 369
* Helicopters: 329
* UAV: 17333 (+46)
* Cruise missiles : 2624
* Warships/boats: 28
* Submarines: 1
* Vehicles and fuel tank: 27034 (+47).
Intelligence and Technology
After the Ukrainian drone attack, a key Russian military microelectronics factory halts production. The Kremniy EL plant in Bryansk manufactured components for Russian systems such as the Pantsir missiles and air defense system, which were used in the war in Ukraine.
The Defense Ministry has approved the fielding of the new Varan buggy made in Ukraine. The Varan is capable of towing a 300 kg trailer or carrying 500 kg of cargo. It has a range of up to 200 km in rough terrain.
The Ukrainian DELTA combat systems coordinated more than 50 drones during the NATO maritime exercise. Ukraine’s Defense Ministry claims that the DELTA situational awareness system coordinated aerial drones, maritime drones, and land ones, and integrated with allied technology.
Ukrainian troops seize the most advanced Verba MANPADS from Russia. The seized 9M336 rocket features multi-spectral optic seekers for improved target engagement.
International
India has secured the release of 85 citizens who were in the Russian Army. 20 more are still awaiting discharge. India has announced the release of 85 of its citizens who were allegedly recruited by Russia’s army under false pretenses. There are ongoing efforts to discharge 20 more.
South Korea is considering sending personnel to Ukraine, as the North deploys troops in Russia. Seoul may also be considering supplying lethal weapons for Ukrainian forces.
South Korea summons Russian ambassador over alleged North Korean troop deployment to Ukraine. Russia responded by saying that the cooperation between Moscow, Pyongyang and South Korea was in accordance with international law.
UN chief’s possible visit to BRICS Summit in Russia challenges narrative about Russia’s isolation. Antonio Guterres’ decision to attend a BRICS Summit in Kazan seems to contradict the UN’s condemnation of Russia’s full-scale invasion into Ukraine.
Politico: EU looks to new Russia sanctions as Hungary’s presidency approaches its end. As EU sanctions against Russia stagnated under Hungary’s leadership in the past, Poland hopes to revive discussions once it assumes EU presidency in January.
Pentagon chief announces $ 400 mn aid package during Kyiv visit. The United States has allocated $400 million in aid to Ukraine. This package focuses on ammunition, military gear, and weapons.
Austin’s unannounced visit to Kyiv affirms US support. US Secretary of Defence Lloyd Austin’s unexpected visit to Kyiv, on 21 October, comes amid questions about the sustainability of Western support of Ukraine’s war efforts.
Humanitarian and social impact
The death toll from the Russian missile attack on Zaporizhzhia‘s city center has risen to 2. The Russian missile attack on Zaporizhzhia city center has now killed two people.
Russia has not returned the body of Ukrainian Journalist Viktoria Rosechyna to Ukraine as part of a prisoner exchange. Ukraine reclassified her case, which was a missing journalist, into a war crimes investigation after reports that she died in Russian captivity.
Russian forces executed two unarmed Ukrainians at close range in Donetsk Oblast. The killing of prisoners is considered a grave violation of the Geneva Conventions. Russia has broken these conventions multiple times.
Sapper warns that Ukraine’s demining effort could last a century. Ukraine faces a major challenge in demining the territories it has reclaimed from Russian forces. This is due to chaotic and undocumented mine practices that severely hamper clearance efforts.
Political and Legal Developments
Poland will request access to the secret annexes to Zelenskyy’s “Victory Plan”. Bartoszewski, Polish Deputy FM, says Poland should have access to them. He cites Warsaw’s vital military aid and its future role in Ukraine’s reconstruction.
Seven suspects, including minors, were arrested for arson attacks in Ukraine on military and rail targets. The suspects from Odesa, Dnipropetrovsk and Cherkasy Oblasts recorded their arson attack for Russian handlers expecting payment.
Investigation reveals that the UN nuclear agency funded Russian researchers in occupied Crimea. IAEA, the UN’s nuclear watchdog agency, signed two contracts following Russia’s occupation of Crimea. This could have legitimized the occupation and violated UN resolutions regarding Ukraine’s territorial integrity.
FT: US $ 20 billion pledge boosts G7 $ 50 billion loan package for Ukraine. FT reports that the US aims to contribute $20 billion to a G7 Loan for Ukraine. The repayment will come from profits on frozen Russian Assets. Negotiations are accelerating ahead of possible shifts in US Aid Policy post-election.
New Developments
WSJ: Clans of chechen warlord Kadyrov plunder, profits from captured Ukrainian Steel Plant in Mariupol. A son of Kadyrov’s trusted lieutenant oversees the operations at the steel mill in occupied Mariupol. He exports steel and scrap metals to Russia while looting equipment worth millions.
Retired general of logistics takes over Ukrainian defense conglomerate. Oleh Huliak‘s military background is crucial for understanding the requirements of Ukraine’s defense forces.
Russian bomber pilots linked to missile strikes against civilians killed in Russia with hammer. Dmitry Golenkov was the chief of staff for an aviation squadron. He died with head injuries that were likely “caused” by hammer, according to HUR.
Former President Trump claims that he warned Putin about a possible Russian strike in the event of an invasion of Ukraine. Donald Trump said that he warned Vladimir Putin about the severe consequences of invading Ukraine during a meeting with Wall Street Journal’s Editorial Board.
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