**Russia’s Military Might: A Warning from the Dutch Intelligence**
The head of the Dutch Military Intelligence and Security Service (MIVD), Vice Admiral Peter Reesink, has issued a stark warning about Russia’s military capabilities. According to Politico, he believes that Russia may restore its combat capabilities within just one year after the war in Ukraine concludes.
This is a sobering thought, especially considering the Netherlands‘ long-standing support for Ukraine. The country has provided nearly €10 billion in aid since 2022, with a significant portion of it allocated this year to meet Ukraine’s urgent defense and reconstruction needs.
Reesink emphasizes that Europe must start preparing for the possibility of a war. He points out that Russia is producing more artillery than needed for its conflict with Ukraine, suggesting a longer-term strategic ambition. The expansion of the Russian military, including the movement of new units towards NATO‘s borders, also raises concerns.
The MIVD report highlights another threat: hybrid warfare from both Russia and China. In 2024 alone, Russian hackers targeted Dutch public institutions, critical infrastructure, political party websites, and transportation networks in an effort to influence European Parliament elections.
**A Growing Threat of Hybrid Warfare**
Reesink expresses concern over the politicization of American intelligence agencies, which can undermine transatlantic security cooperation. He notes that Russia’s interference in different elections is not limited to disinformation, but also involves direct manipulation.
This warning comes at a time when the Netherlands, along with other NATO members, is boosting its military readiness and advocating for a stronger, more independent European security policy. The MIVD report serves as a reminder of the need for vigilance and cooperation among European nations in the face of rising threats from Russia and China.
**Commentary**
Reesink’s warning highlights the complexity of modern warfare, where traditional combat capabilities are complemented by sophisticated cyber and disinformation strategies. As Europe prepares for the possibility of war, it must also address the evolving nature of hybrid threats.
The politicization of American intelligence agencies adds another layer of concern, as it can undermine trust and cooperation between allies. The Netherlands’ efforts to boost military readiness and advocate for a stronger European security policy demonstrate the need for collective action in the face of these growing threats.
Ultimately, Reesink’s warning serves as a reminder that international relations are not static. As powers rise or fall, new challenges emerge, requiring adaptability and cooperation from all nations involved.
