Russian aerial attacks on Ukraine have intensified in recent years, especially with the increased deployment of Shahed Drones. In October 2024, Russia launched 2,023 drones against Ukraine. Ukrainian forces intercepted 1,185 of those drones. Reports indicate that the frequency of missile launch in September and October has decreased, indicating a strategic pause in order to gather weapons for future strikes. This combination of increased drone war and missile stockpiling highlights the urgency for Ukraine, as Russia attempts to exploit vulnerabilities in Ukraine’s defense capabilities, to strengthen its air defenses, and prepare for intensified attacks during the colder winter months. They’re likely to include a large number of Shahed-type drones. Hetman stated that the next attack could be twice as large as the one in August. Hetman also stressed that the looming assault will target Ukraine’s whole territory, and not just the areas near the border or front. Most likely yes. He added that they’ve already hinted about these plans. The expert also provided insight into the timing for this potential escalation. Initially expected by 12 Oct, the attack was then predicted around the US election. Hetman suggests that, after both dates passed without incident, a major attack could occur as soon as the cold weather sets in. This is likely to happen before December. The air strike on August 26 cost Russia $1.26billion. According to Ukraine’s Air Force the assault included 109 Shahed 136/131 attack robots, 77 Kh -101 cruise missiles, 3 Kh – 22 cruise missiles, 28 Kalibr cruise missiles sea-launched, six Iskander -M ballistic rockets, three Kh – 47M2 Kinzhal aeroballistic missiles, and ten Kh 59/Kh 69 guided air missiles.
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