Georgia’s Ongoing Crisis: What to Expect?  

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There are three potential scenarios for resolving Georgia’s political turmoil, according to analysts:

1. **The Belarusian Scenario**: The (GD) government becomes increasingly authoritarian, leading to international isolation and further entrenching the regime’s grip on power.
2. **Regime Change**: Under sustained internal and external pressure, GD’s governance system collapses, forcing the party out of the constitutional framework and leading to new parliamentary elections. This scenario would result in a political reset and Georgia resuming its democratic reforms and Euro- trajectory.
. **Negotiated Crisis Management**: Through international mediation, GD and the opposition reach an agreement to hold free and fair elections under international supervision. This would lead to the formation of a coalition government by opposition parties, with GD transitioning into the opposition.

The faces significant challenges, including:

* Lack of internal due to the movement
* External pressure from sanctions or declarations
* International isolation

The analysts agree that Georgian society needs to continue protesting and maintaining its position on demanding the release of prisoners and . They also emphasize the importance of debunking GD propaganda on EU integration and promoting European values in the country.

Some key points mentioned by the analysts include:

* The need for sustained public resistance to pressure the
* The importance of international , including sanctions or declarations
* The potential for negotiated crisis management through international mediation
* The need for Georgian society to address GD propaganda on EU integration and promote European values

Overall, the analysts emphasize that Georgia’s democratic trajectory is at a critical juncture, and the country needs to choose between a return to authoritarianism or a path towards democracy and Euro-.

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