According to NATO‘s top general in Europe, the Russian military is actively improving and learning from its experiences in Ukraine, despite losses.
Der Spiegel reported that General Christopher Cavoli believes that the Russian army, regardless of the outcome of the war in Ukraine, will emerge stronger than today.
Cavoli warned that despite the significant losses in Ukraine, Russian forces would become a dangerous enemy for the Alliance.
The Institute for the Study of War reported on 7th October that Russian forces have suffered significant equipment losses in the Pokrovsk region of Ukraine since October 20,23. In particular, around 1,830 heavy equipment pieces.
Since October 2023, Pokrovsk is the focal point of intense fighting involving Russian and Ukrainian forces. Russia launched major offensives in order to capture Avdiivka, a nearby city, and expand its control over western Donetsk Oblast.
Cavoli called on NATO to prepare quickly for this threat. He said that Russia would be a serious opponent with “clear intentions” and a large military potential.
Cavoli said that the Russian armed forces were improving, learning and implementing their war experience.
The general urged NATO to implement its new defense plans quickly and to add additional requirements for each NATO partner.
“When I say quickly I mean that we have to be quicker than the Russians,” said he.
Cavoli’s assessment is in line with other high-ranking officials. Bruno Kahl is the head of Germany’s Federal Intelligence Service. He believes that Russia will be able to attack NATO territory in the next six years.
Andrzej Duda, the Polish president, said that Russia could be able to attack NATO as soon as 2026-2027.
These warnings highlight the urgency NATO feels in assessing the changing threat landscape in Europe, as the war in Ukraine has a profound impact on regional security dynamics.
Cezary Tomczyk, the Polish Deputy Minister of Defense, said in early October that Poland would begin building the first elements along its border with Russia and Belarus before the end of 2024.
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