The main issue with Zelenskyy’s victory plan is the lack of support from its allies, who doubt Russia’s willingness to return to Europe. This was evident in a recent frontline report where Ukrainian forces successfully trapped Russian troops in Kursk Oblast, but faced challenges due to the lack of political will from their allies. Despite downing multiple Russian missiles and drones, the impact of two Iskander missiles remains unknown.
As of September 28, 2024, the losses of weapons and military equipment of the Russian Armed Forces since the beginning of the invasion are estimated to be significant. This includes personnel, tanks, armored personnel vehicles, artillery systems, MLRS, anti-aircraft systems, aircraft, helicopters, UAVs, cruise missiles, warships, submarines, and vehicles. The West may not fully understand the benefits of providing Ukraine with long-range strike capabilities, as Russia’s covert operations to undermine European stability and NATO readiness are likely to continue.
In a move to support Ukraine, the Netherlands has retired 24 F-16 fighters and will transfer them to Kyiv. However, the resistance movement in Moscow Oblast has also intensified, with Ukrainian intelligence coordinating with local resistance to eliminate a top Russian drone chief. Despite this, the Austrian foreign minister has called for continued dialogue with Russia, acknowledging their current unwillingness to engage in meaningful talks about Ukraine.
The US has shown “great interest” in Ukraine’s victory plan, according to Zelenskyy’s spokesperson, dismissing negative media reports about its reception. However, Switzerland has backed a controversial peace plan proposed by China and Brazil, which emphasizes a ceasefire and political solution. This has been met with criticism from Zelenskyy, who believes it serves Russian interests. In a recent UN meeting, veteran German diplomat Wolfgang Ischinger urged the West to establish their own red lines for Russia, rather than reacting to their ultimatums.
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