UK intelligence: Assad’s downfall threatens Russia’s ambitions in Africa, the Mediterranean Sea  

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**Russia’s Strategic Ambitions in Jeopardy**

The Assad government’s collapse is threatening Russia’s in Syria. These bases are important for Moscow to maintain its presence in the and African regions.

Russian likely see the fall of the Assad regime as big problem. It will damage their reputation as a strong power broker in the region, and also hurt their image as a reliable ally.

**Russia’s Priorities**

Until now, Russia’s main focus has been on the war with Ukraine. This has made it harder for them to keep the Assad government in power. As a result, Russia’s influence in the Middle East is weakening.

**Maintaining Control**

The Russian bases at Tartus and are still their priority. These bases allow Moscow to project its power into the Near East and Mediterranean Sea, and support its operations in .

**Rebuilding Reputation**

In the short term, Russia will likely try to repair its reputation as a reliable partner. They will engage diplomatically with all relevant to ensure security guarantees for their military bases.

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