What could a pause in US military assistance mean for Ukraine  

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**US Aid Ukraine Paused: A Blow to Kyiv and European Allies**

Donald Trump’s decision to halt all US aid to Ukraine has left a bitter taste in the mouths of both Kyiv and European allies who have been lobbying for continued . This is not the first time the US has withheld military aid, with Republicans blocking President ‘s largest tranche of assistance in 2023.

**A Delicate Balance**

Ukraine managed to scrape by existing stocks of ammunition thanks to European help. But when Congress approved a £60bn aid package in spring 2024, it was just in time for Ukraine to fend off a in Kharkiv. US weapons turned the tide of battle, but now their absence may be felt for months.

**European Help Not Enough**

While Europe has increased its production of artillery shells and now provides 60% of Ukraine’s aid, US military support remains crucial. A Western described it as “the cream” in terms of quality weapons. Ukraine relies on sophisticated US air defence systems like batteries and NASAMS to protect its people and cities.

**Intelligence Sharing at Risk**

The absence of some aid may take time to filter down to the frontline, but there’s a more worrying immediate impact: intelligence sharing. No nation matches the US in space-based surveillance, intelligence gathering, and communications – not even commercial companies like Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite network.

**Equipment and Maintenance Concerns**

Will the US prevent European countries from sending their US-made equipment to Ukraine? Will they maintain control over maintenance of US-supplied gear? These questions hang in the balance as ‘s decision may be more than just a pause. The hope among European allies is that it will only be a temporary setback for Ukraine, but without US support, survival becomes even harsher.

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